It’s not just cotton at risk. Silk production is also threatened in tropical regions, where elevated temperatures will make caterpillars struggle to build their cocoons. The impact on the silk industry could threaten the livelihoods of more than 2 million people. The quality and quantity of cashmere are also diminishing, affected by unstable temperatures and diminishing water supplies as well as overgrazing that has an impact on the growth of goats’ winter coats in Mongolia.
On 17 November, Google announced it was launching the Global Fibre Impact Explorer, a tool built atop Google Earth and Google Cloud to identify and assess the environmental risks of 20 different fibres due to factors including air pollution, biodiversity, greenhouse gasses, forestry and water use. The tool is part of Google’s ongoing partnership with WWF to build a platform that tracks raw sustainable materials, and specifically looks at the connection between climate change and raw materials used in retail. Stella McCartney is the first brand to test the tool, and more have shown interest, according to Google.
The warnings from scientists are stark. “The fashion industry needs to understand that this is what we expect to happen — more crop failures of all sorts,” says Jennifer Francis, acting deputy director of the Woodwell Climate Resource Centre and a senior scientist. “It’s most likely that the crops that are used for fabrics will become even more expensive or just not available.”
Fashion looks for solutions
In 2015, luxury giant Kering warned that the quality and availability of raw materials was already being impacted by the climate crisis. “A lot has changed from five years ago when we were just becoming aware of the potential risks,” says Helen Crowley, head of sustainable sourcing and nature initiatives at Kering. “The sector is now looking for climate solutions.”
One solution is to diversify supply across geographies to ensure that if weather conditions falter in one region, fashion companies can turn to another. Another Tomorrow, for example, is expanding its supplier base to reduce the risks of shortages in future. However, diversification of supply has drawbacks, including making it harder for companies to verify the working conditions of their suppliers. “We believe in having traceable supply for good working conditions,” says CEO Barboni Hallik.
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